News & Research

Investor sentiment in 2021 can be summed-up in one word: “concerned”. Generally speaking, investors know there are only a handful of events that can spark a turning point in a market cycle — and in 2021 most expected tapering to be one of them.

This whitepaper evaluates two thematic investment strategies – STOXX® Global Ageing Population (“Ageing Population”) and STOXX® Global Millennials (“Millennials”) – which seek exposure to these two distinct generations.

In this paper we analyzed four tech-oriented thematic indices’ performance and risk through a factor lens leveraging Axioma’s Worldwide Fundamental Factor Model, and also compared their characteristics to the broad market indices.

In this article we examine stress-test results to determine the ex-ante performance impact of the variables in the Axioma Worldwide Macroeconomic Projection Equity Factor Risk Model (Macro Model).

Much has been written about the spectacular comeback of Value stocks. But has this also been reflected in the credit market? The steep rise of the Value factor from the Axioma Factor-based Fixed Income Risk Model over the past 14 months seems to suggest that the answer is yes.

After experiencing a period of steadily rising returns from 1982 through 2006, investing in “cheap” stocks has been out of favor since 2007. Granted, a few good quarters for the Value factor have popped up every now and again, but so have strings of poor performance, yielding a return of roughly 0% over the 13-year period ended September 2020.

The recent release of the Axioma Macroeconomic Projection Equity Factor Risk Model highlights the risk and return impact of economic variables on equity strategies. Quantitatively driven portfolios are usually constructed (and invested in) without considering the potential impact of big moves in economic variables.

The surge in oil prices since November 2020 has highlighted the challenges—and even opportunities—of measuring and managing the impact of swings in oil prices on portfolios.

The impact of Robinhood at al did not escape the attention of our risk models. The roles of Liquidity and Leverage as risk factors in the Axioma fundamental models has been in full display on the heels of the recent trading frenzy which sent previously unpopular stocks soaring in January, only to tumble in early February. Other typically “compensated” style factors, such as Volatility and Size, also had a significant reaction, resulting in an overall increase in style factor risk.

In capital markets investing, the greater fool theory states that an investor buying a risk asset, no matter its current valuation, can always find a “greater fool” to buy it later at a higher price.

US small-cap stocks close in on their larger counterparts; Value sees a strong reversal—except in Japan; The greenback continues to weaken.

Qontigo launched its first Worldwide Equity Linked Factor Risk Model, providing targeted factor exposures through a combination of the Axioma US, Developed Markets ex-US and Emerging Market Equity Factor Risk Models.