Optimize investment impact with Qontigo’s innovative index, analytics and risk solutions

Historically, bear markets have been rare. Since 1982 there have been five drawdowns of 20% or more (the ‘official’ bear market definition), including the current one, with a cycle of seven to 13 years in between each one. The present case is unusual, as it has only been two years since the last one.

At the recent Qontigo Investment Intelligence Summit, WTW’s climate experts discussed how investors can better grasp a company’s climate-transition risk by looking forward to the future impact on its cash flows, rather than backwards at its carbon footprint.

A new Qontigo white paper analyzes the effect of changes in term spreads, or the difference between long- and short-term sovereign bond yields, on the performance of the iSTOXX Developed and Emerging Markets ex USA PK VN index. The findings show a rise in term spreads has, overall, helped returns for the global real estate index since 2019, but the relationship varies depending on regional exposure and period.

Term spreads have risen in multiple regions around the globe, as long-term sovereign yields soared amid rising (expected and actual) inflation but central banks took longer to raise short-term interest rates. The impact of this on international real estate has mostly been positive over the past two-and-a-half years.

Fed recession warning weighs on bond yields; Dollar stalls over lower interest-rate and economic growth expectations; Lower equity volatility partly reverses spike in portfolio risk.

Global Value’s winning streak rolls on; Asset diversification continues to plunge; Investors flock to US dollar’s safety.

Sentiment declined sharply last week, becoming negative in Asia ex-Japan, Japan and developed Europe, with the latter ending bearish for the first time since early April. We continue to see a divergence of sentiment between developed- and emerging-market investors, with the former remaining bearish and the latter increasingly bullish.

Eurex has listed futures on three STOXX thematic indices that have a technology focus: breakthrough healthcare, digitalization and digital security. The centrally cleared derivatives complement a growing thematics ecosystem that includes ETFs, helping investors better manage portfolios.